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Model risk of risk models

22237210 / COUNTRYWIDE FINANCIAL CORP


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 1.43 1.53 1.48 1.37 1.33 1.41 1.61 1.37
max 8.15 7.89 6.23 5.20 8.07 7.40 6.27 5.65
mean 2.57 2.49 2.37 2.22 2.73 2.43 2.52 2.24
st.dev. 1.31 1.20 0.86 0.74 1.34 1.16 0.85 0.80
Q5% 1.50 1.60 1.56 1.45 1.55 1.48 1.73 1.45
Q50% 2.10 2.10 2.20 2.11 2.25 2.07 2.35 2.12
Q95% 5.22 5.07 3.47 3.29 5.12 4.75 3.83 3.29


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.41 1.61 1.13 1.16 1.36 1.46 1.19 1.04
max 2.26 2.43 3.40 3.53 2.07 2.17 3.40 3.40
mean 1.71 1.87 1.86 1.97 1.57 1.69 1.91 1.82
st.dev. 0.19 0.20 0.55 0.66 0.18 0.18 0.53 0.57
Q5% 1.52 1.67 1.15 1.20 1.38 1.51 1.24 1.09
Q50% 1.63 1.81 1.74 1.78 1.51 1.64 1.81 1.71
Q95% 2.05 2.29 2.95 3.19 1.94 2.05 2.95 2.95


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.33 1.46 1.51 1.51 1.24 1.36 1.53 1.50
max 3.92 4.38 5.24 5.24 3.62 4.04 5.53 5.24
mean 2.14 2.37 2.62 2.59 2.01 2.20 2.71 2.60
st.dev. 0.61 0.69 0.84 0.85 0.55 0.63 0.87 0.85
Q5% 1.35 1.49 1.75 1.73 1.27 1.39 1.74 1.72
Q50% 2.05 2.27 2.41 2.40 1.93 2.10 2.51 2.41
Q95% 3.25 3.64 4.64 4.64 3.02 3.35 4.64 4.64


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00 168.00
min 1.45 1.69 1.11 1.06 1.31 1.51 1.14 1.09
max 2.21 2.57 2.52 2.70 2.00 2.30 2.52 2.55
mean 1.78 2.07 1.76 1.76 1.62 1.85 1.76 1.76
st.dev. 0.18 0.22 0.37 0.38 0.16 0.19 0.37 0.38
Q5% 1.48 1.73 1.20 1.19 1.34 1.55 1.20 1.19
Q50% 1.77 2.05 1.73 1.73 1.61 1.84 1.73 1.73
Q95% 2.11 2.46 2.29 2.29 1.90 2.20 2.29 2.29


2007-12-14 to 2009-06-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 136.00 136.00 136.00 136.00 136.00 136.00 136.00 136.00
min 1.59 1.91 1.48 1.53 1.40 1.69 1.50 1.50
max 9.53 11.49 7.10 7.10 9.93 10.08 7.10 7.10
mean 3.09 3.66 3.02 3.05 2.88 3.25 3.02 3.03
st.dev. 1.60 1.94 1.16 1.17 1.60 1.69 1.16 1.16
Q5% 1.62 1.96 1.59 1.60 1.43 1.72 1.59 1.59
Q50% 2.53 2.99 2.82 2.83 2.32 2.64 2.82 2.83
Q95% 6.37 7.70 5.15 5.26 5.89 6.74 5.17 5.18


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 5446.00 5446.00 5437.00 5437.00 5446.00 5446.00 5437.00 5437.00
min 1.16 1.21 1.06 1.06 1.12 1.17 1.03 1.04
max 9.53 11.49 12.97 18.84 9.93 10.08 10.61 14.87
mean 1.72 1.94 2.07 2.15 1.61 1.76 2.05 2.06
st.dev. 0.53 0.62 0.76 0.91 0.51 0.54 0.72 0.79
Q5% 1.33 1.45 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.36 1.27 1.22
Q50% 1.61 1.82 1.95 2.01 1.49 1.65 1.92 1.93
Q95% 2.30 2.59 3.23 3.42 2.16 2.36 3.23 3.23