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Model risk of risk models

33763V10 / FIRSTAR CORP NEW WIS


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.37 1.64 1.20 1.93 1.22 1.44 1.12 1.43
max 3.73 4.46 4.81 5.48 3.33 3.93 4.81 4.81
mean 2.05 2.44 2.24 3.01 1.84 2.16 2.17 2.44
st.dev. 0.43 0.52 0.78 1.11 0.38 0.45 0.75 0.85
Q5% 1.47 1.72 1.28 1.96 1.32 1.54 1.25 1.44
Q50% 2.02 2.41 2.06 2.63 1.79 2.13 1.97 2.22
Q95% 2.74 3.29 3.54 5.16 2.43 2.89 3.61 3.95


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.93 2.18 1.73 1.75 1.83 2.00 1.70 1.72
max 4.65 5.34 6.57 6.57 4.99 4.84 6.67 6.57
mean 2.88 3.28 3.35 3.18 2.93 2.98 3.80 3.19
st.dev. 0.72 0.83 1.17 1.18 0.79 0.75 1.20 1.16
Q5% 1.99 2.26 2.15 1.96 1.97 2.06 2.48 2.01
Q50% 2.95 3.35 2.87 2.68 2.95 3.05 3.42 2.69
Q95% 4.09 4.70 5.78 5.78 4.39 4.25 6.34 5.71


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 3222.00 3222.00 3213.00 3213.00 3222.00 3222.00 3213.00 3213.00
min 1.18 1.29 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.21 1.04 1.07
max 13.77 13.91 19.95 29.61 13.73 13.67 16.57 23.64
mean 2.04 2.40 2.54 2.95 1.88 2.14 2.42 2.63
st.dev. 0.61 0.75 1.27 1.87 0.56 0.65 1.10 1.41
Q5% 1.37 1.53 1.35 1.37 1.29 1.41 1.34 1.37
Q50% 1.94 2.30 2.22 2.39 1.78 2.03 2.16 2.26
Q95% 2.96 3.54 4.86 6.12 2.75 3.12 4.32 5.09