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Model risk of risk models

65248770 / NEWS CORP LTD


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.45 1.84 1.50 1.98 1.30 1.54 1.14 1.75
max 7.15 8.49 5.83 10.26 7.04 7.51 5.76 6.62
mean 2.34 2.86 2.85 3.91 2.28 2.48 2.46 3.11
st.dev. 0.95 1.09 1.02 2.09 0.94 0.99 0.87 1.25
Q5% 1.52 1.92 1.77 2.10 1.39 1.62 1.38 1.78
Q50% 2.02 2.47 2.55 3.13 2.00 2.10 2.30 2.61
Q95% 4.18 4.94 4.97 8.80 4.06 4.38 4.10 5.83


1998-08-14 to 1998-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00 65.00
min 1.33 1.41 1.30 1.30 1.33 1.34 1.30 1.30
max 4.03 4.61 4.82 5.37 3.83 4.19 4.82 4.96
mean 1.97 2.14 2.47 2.49 1.92 2.00 2.45 2.47
st.dev. 0.61 0.74 0.82 0.85 0.57 0.65 0.80 0.82
Q5% 1.41 1.50 1.48 1.48 1.39 1.41 1.48 1.48
Q50% 1.83 1.93 2.24 2.24 1.73 1.84 2.24 2.24
Q95% 3.58 4.09 4.05 4.07 3.42 3.72 4.05 4.05


2001-03-14 to 2001-11-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00 114.00
min 1.33 1.54 1.15 1.15 1.31 1.38 1.10 1.11
max 2.35 2.76 3.69 3.73 2.30 2.46 3.59 3.59
mean 1.66 1.92 2.23 2.24 1.57 1.72 2.21 2.19
st.dev. 0.20 0.24 0.67 0.68 0.21 0.21 0.63 0.64
Q5% 1.45 1.68 1.26 1.26 1.32 1.51 1.32 1.26
Q50% 1.65 1.89 2.32 2.34 1.52 1.70 2.27 2.25
Q95% 2.14 2.51 3.41 3.45 2.10 2.24 3.32 3.32


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 2857.00 2857.00 2848.00 2848.00 2857.00 2857.00 2848.00 2848.00
min 1.11 1.21 1.04 1.04 1.07 1.13 1.06 1.04
max 7.15 8.49 19.58 30.78 7.04 7.51 16.12 23.13
mean 1.85 2.17 2.65 2.94 1.72 1.91 2.41 2.67
st.dev. 0.49 0.61 1.21 1.67 0.46 0.50 0.97 1.28
Q5% 1.35 1.50 1.31 1.34 1.26 1.39 1.29 1.30
Q50% 1.71 2.00 2.36 2.53 1.60 1.79 2.21 2.36
Q95% 2.75 3.26 5.00 5.89 2.51 2.81 4.22 5.01