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Model risk of risk models

92000310 / VALLEY NATIONAL CORP AZ


1987-10-19 to 1988-01-19
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00 64.00
min 2.08 2.82 1.25 1.60 1.76 2.30 1.30 1.29
max 6.09 8.79 7.28 7.28 4.89 6.94 7.28 7.28
mean 2.93 4.08 3.14 3.42 2.39 3.28 3.09 3.18
st.dev. 0.76 1.17 1.42 1.45 0.59 0.89 1.46 1.42
Q5% 2.20 3.01 1.63 1.71 1.82 2.45 1.37 1.68
Q50% 2.79 3.89 2.81 3.14 2.28 3.15 2.71 2.88
Q95% 4.52 6.69 6.04 6.04 3.47 5.34 6.04 6.04


1990-07-14 to 1991-03-14
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00 169.00
min 1.80 2.27 1.78 2.18 1.55 1.94 1.22 1.80
max 6.97 9.01 7.59 12.19 5.93 7.57 6.98 8.25
mean 3.34 4.30 3.56 4.67 2.86 3.62 2.83 3.67
st.dev. 1.02 1.33 1.61 2.43 0.88 1.11 1.20 1.68
Q5% 1.96 2.49 1.86 2.39 1.69 2.12 1.40 1.87
Q50% 3.30 4.24 3.21 3.67 2.81 3.57 2.48 3.31
Q95% 5.16 6.68 6.80 9.76 4.47 5.61 5.06 7.11


1974-01-01 to 2012-12-31
Non-overlapping, 99% VaR Non-overlapping, 99% ES 10-day overlapping, 99% VaR 10-day overlapping, 99% ES Non-overlapping, 97.5% VaR Non-overlapping, 97.5% ES 10-day overlapping, 97.5% VaR 10-day overlapping, 97.5% ES
obs 1970.00 1970.00 1961.00 1961.00 1970.00 1970.00 1961.00 1961.00
min 1.56 1.72 1.07 1.06 1.25 1.49 1.06 1.06
max 11.98 15.37 18.35 24.46 10.22 12.97 16.56 20.18
mean 2.86 3.82 3.20 4.34 2.43 3.14 2.63 3.41
st.dev. 0.93 1.34 1.85 3.19 0.79 1.06 1.39 2.10
Q5% 1.78 2.17 1.37 1.39 1.56 1.89 1.31 1.37
Q50% 2.69 3.57 2.70 3.21 2.26 2.95 2.33 2.77
Q95% 4.43 6.16 6.80 10.73 3.82 4.96 4.82 7.58